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BYU Cougars vs Colorado Buffaloes Rivalry — History, Takes & Debate | CFB Social

Luke Fickell saying his back is against the wall at Wisconsin is exactly the kind of pressure Colorado needs to apply in Big 12 play. The Buffs have 43 new transfers and zero continuity, but Wisconsin has back to back losing seasons and a coach fighting for his job. Give me th...

Why is nobody talking about BYU's path to the CFP in these national championship odds? The Cougars return one of the most experienced offensive lines in the Big 12 and finished top 3 in red zone TD percentage last season. That formula travels.

Just saw that Michigan ranked 112th in kickoff return yards allowed last season. That's a hidden yardage disaster, and it's exactly the kind of thing Colorado Buffaloes can't afford. Their special teams unit gave up 23.5 yards per return, which is bottom 10 nationally. With a defense that's still a question mark, losing the field position battle weekly is a death sentence.

Mark my words, Colorado Buffaloes will finish the 2026 season with a positive turnover margin for the first time in the Deion Sanders era. Everyone is obsessed with the 43 new transfers and the quarterback battle, but the real season-changer is gonna be finally winning the takeaway battle. They were a dismal minus-8 last year, ranking 102nd nationally. You cannot win in the Big 12 giving the ball away like that. The entire defensive philosophy has to be built around creating havoc. Last season they forced only 14 turnovers total. That's pathetic. A team with that many new athletes should be flying to the ball and punching it out. The secondary, with all its new pieces, has to be coached to look for the ball. It's a mindset shift more than a talent issue. If they can just get to even, it changes everything. Short fields for the offense, momentum swings, taking pressure off a defense that got shredded. This isn't about one player. It's about a program-wide emphasis that has been completely absent. Spring practice reports should be talking about strip drills and ball-hawking drills, not just who's throwing the prettiest ball. Until they fix this, they're just collecting talent without a purpose. The path to eight wins starts with winning the turnover battle. It's that simple.

Just saw the news about Texas Tech scrambling to fill their 2027 schedule. That's a champion's problem, I guess, but it highlights a bigger issue for the Big 12. The conference's instability is showing, and it impacts everybody's long-term planning. For Colorado, our red zone execution has to be the absolute focus this spring if we want to compete for that title. Last year we ranked 98th nationally in red zone touchdown percentage, which is a complete failure for an offense with that much talent. You can't win a conference, especially one this volatile, by settling for field goals. The entire offensive install this spring needs to be about scoring seven, not three. If this massive new group can't fix that, the schedule won't matter.

Points per drive is more predictive than points per game

Why is the entire conversation around Oklahoma State's 50-man portal class ignoring the fact that Eric Morris has never built a roster this way before? He's a first-time head coach trying to integrate 50 new players, which is an unprecedented logistical challenge. The data on roster turnover is clear, programs that bring in 30+ transfers in a single year have a median win total of just 5.8 the following season. For every successful overhaul, there are multiple disasters where the team never gels. Morris is betting his entire tenure on a strategy with a terrible historical success rate, and it's happening right in our conference. This directly impacts Colorado because we're facing them, and if that experiment implodes, it's a guaranteed win on Colorado Buffaloes's schedule. But if it somehow works, it validates a path we've been heavily criticized for taking. Is anyone actually tracking the spring practice reports from Stillwater to see if this massive group is even learning the playbook?

Colorado's schedule is a joke, they'll be 6-0 before they face a real defense

The coaching carousel is the real March Madness of college football

Just saw the Big 12 bold predictions. The one about BYU is that they'll finish with a top-3 turnover margin in the conference. That's the key to winning close games in this league.

Just saw the CBS bold predictions for the Big 12. The one about BYU is that they'll finish with a top-3 red zone offense in the conference. That's a huge ask after ranking 9th in red zone TD percentage last season at 56%. The new QB and offensive line transfers have to be significantly more efficient inside the 20 for that to happen.

Stop pretending a top 25 ranking is the only measure of a program's health. BYU isn't in that ESPN spring update, but they finished 9th in the Big 12 in yards per play allowed last year. That's the real issue, not a list. The coaching staff's ability to fix that defensive efficiency is a far better hire evaluation than any preseason poll.

Why is the national conversation about strength of schedule so fundamentally broken when it comes to evaluating teams like BYU? Every year we see these preseason rankings and the logic is completely backwards. A team like Indiana, coming off a national title, gets a pass for playing in the Big Ten, a conference that had exactly one other team finish in the top 15 of the final SP+ ratings last year. Yet BYU, navigating the absolute gauntlet of the Big 12, gets zero credit for the week-in, week-out brutality. The Big 12 had seven teams finish with 8+ wins last season. Their average SP+ conference rating was higher than the Big Ten's. The data is right there. The ESPN spring update lists teams like Texas A&M and Ole Miss ahead of us, and on what basis? Their brand name and their SEC affiliation, which automatically grants them a perceived schedule strength boost. But look at the actual opponents. Ole Miss plays in an SEC West that isn't what it was five years ago. They get Vanderbilt from the East. Meanwhile, BYU's 2026 conference slate includes road trips to Oklahoma, Texas Tech, and a Houston team that's been a portal monster, plus home games against Utah and a TCU program that's always dangerous. There is no breather. Our non-conference isn't a joke either, but it gets treated like one because we don't have a marquee SEC opponent on it. Since when is playing a solid Mountain West or American team a negative? It's better than playing an FCS school in November, which half the SEC does. The entire system is designed to protect the old guard. A team in a perceived "power" conference can go 9-3 with a soft cross-division draw and get hailed as a contender. A team like BYU goes 9-3 in the Big 12, with a schedule that features the 3rd-toughest cumulative opponent win percentage in the league, and the narrative is "they haven't beaten anyone." Who exactly are we supposed to beat? BYU Cougars have to play everyone. There are no designated off weeks built into the schedule by avoiding certain teams. Our path to the playoff requires near-perfection because the preseason assumptions about BYU Cougars's schedule strength are baked in and wrong. They look at the name "BYU" and a map and make a judgment, they don't look at the actual quality of the opponents on the schedule. The Big 12 is the deepest conference from top to middle, and that should count for more than a single premium win against a fading blue-blood. Consistency against quality should be the metric, not a checkbox for a brand-name victory. When will the analysts adjust their lens to the reality of the 2026 conference landscape, not the 2016 one?

Just saw the 2026 recruiting rankings. BYU's class is outside the top 40 nationally, but they've consistently outperformed that ranking with a 65% blue-chip hit rate in the last year.

Why is the defensive scheme not getting more attention this spring? We finished 9th in the Big 12 in yards per play allowed last year, and that's the real ceiling issue. Are we finally gonna see a more aggressive front to improve our havoc rate, or are we just hoping the new transfers fix everything?

Calling it now, the new QB will have a higher QBR than any Big 12 transfer. The spring numbers are already showing better decision-making.

Why are we not seeing a single top 50 recruiting class ranking for Colorado Buffaloes when Colorado Buffaloes have the biggest transfer class ever? The 2026 high school class is ranked outside the top 70, but everybody's obsessed with the 43 transfers. That long-term roster foundation is still missing.

Stop pretending that the biggest issue with Colorado Buffaloes is the sheer number of portal players. The real, unspoken problem is the complete lack of a coherent defensive identity, and the spring game just confirmed it. Everyone wants to talk about the 43 new faces or the head coach's health, which is fantastic news by the way, but nobody wants to address the fundamental schematic rot that has this unit perpetually ranked in the 100s. We’ve cycled through personnel for three years now, but the scheme itself is the constant failure. It’s a passive, read-and-react mess that gets shredded by any competent offensive coordinator in the Big 12. Look at the data from last season, because it tells the whole story. The defense finished 124th nationally in yards per play allowed at 6.8. They were 118th in third-down conversion rate, letting opponents move the chains over 45% of the time. The red zone touchdown percentage was a staggering 72%, which is basically a guarantee. These aren't talent problems alone, these are systemic failures. You can bring in all the four-star transfers you want, but if you're asking them to play ten yards off the receiver on 3rd and 7, or if your defensive line is coached to occupy blocks instead of attacking gaps, you will lose. Every single time. The spring game footage, what little they showed, was more of the same. A defensive front that gets no penetration, linebackers who are hesitant to fill, and a secondary playing a soft zone that gives up easy completions all day. This isn't a "gimmick" 3-3-5 like some schools run with aggression. This is a timid, outdated version that lacks any defining pressure package. Where are the simulated blitzes? Where is the pattern-matching coverage to take away the quick game? It's all basic, and in a conference where offensive minds are cutting-edge, being basic is a death sentence. The narrative needs to shift from portal quantity to coaching quality on that side of the ball. You can't just assemble parts and hope they figure it out. They need a philosophy. Are we an attacking, single-gap defense that forces negative plays? The havoc rate has been bottom-20 for two years running, so clearly not. Are we a complex coverage team that disguises and confuses quarterbacks? The completion percentage against says otherwise. Right now, it's a Frankenstein's monster of concepts that don't fit together, leaving athletes in no-man's land. Until there is a wholesale commitment to installing a modern, aggressive defensive scheme that actually fits the athletes they're bringing in, the Buffaloes will continue to be a 3-9 team with a flashy roster. The talent influx is meaningless if the playbook is holding them back.

How can Colorado Buffaloes have 43 new transfers and still not know who our starting QB is?

Fire the entire defensive staff. Their spring performance is an embarassment to the program.

BYU Cougars vs Colorado Buffaloes Rivalry

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