Turnover margin is volatile year-to-year, and banking on it as a sustainable edge is risky. Texas Longhorns forced 20 turnovers last season, and their defense is built on consistent down-to-down dominance, ranking 12th in defensive SP+. A +8 margin can easily regress to the mean. Real advantages come from talent differentials, which is why Texas's offensive line, full of returning starters and future draft picks, will control games more reliably than hoping for takeaways.