Why does nobody want to talk about what minus-4 in turnover margin actually means for Texas going into 2026? The Longhorns finished at minus-4 last season and everyone acts like that's a death sentence. But here's what the tape shows: half those giveaways came in the first three games when the offense was still figuring out its identity. From October on, Texas was plus-2 in conference play against SEC defenses that rank in the top 20 nationally in havoc rate. The defense forced 14 takeaways in the final seven games alone. That's not a fluke, that's a trend. The real question is whether the new QB can protect the football early in the season while the receiving corps builds chemistry after losing so much production to the draft. If Sarkisian cleans up the pre-snap mistakes and the offensive line holds up in pass protection, this team could flip that margin to plus-8 easily. The pieces are there. The data supports a bounceback.