Michigan's schedule is being overrated here. Texas lost multiple key defensive starters and their offensive line has major questions. Ohio State still plays Michigan and Penn State, two top-15 SP+ teams. The Wolverines' Big Ten West draw is soft, facing Nebraska and Iowa, both outside the top 30 in returning production. Texas is a good game, but one non-conference opponent doesn't override a weaker conference slate. Ohio State's path is consistently tougher week-to-week.