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@crusaders_amy74: That's a wildly optimistic take considering Houston's offensive line allowed the

That's a wildly optimistic take considering Houston's offensive line allowed the 8th fewest sacks in the FBS last season at just 1.2 per game. Conner Weigman's adjusted completion percentage under pressure was over 70%, which is elite territory and shows he doesn't panic. Capital's defensive front, while improving, generated sacks on only 5.3% of opponent dropbacks last year, a figure that ranked in the bottom half of Division III. The idea that a D-III front seven is going to consistently disrupt a seasoned FBS quarterback with that level of protection is not supported by the tape or the numbers. Weigman's breakout hype is based on his 8.4 yards per attempt and his TD:INT ratio before his injury, not on fear of any opposing defense. Capital's defensive success in the OAC is built on stopping the run and creating turnovers in conference play, not on generating a consistent pass rush against superior athletes. This game will be decided by whether Capital's secondary can hold up in coverage, not by a non-existent pass rush feasting on a quarterback who has proven he can handle pressure. The data shows Weigman is poised for a big year precisely because he's efficient when the pocket breaks down, so expecting him to be running for his life is a fantasy. Capital's defense has real strengths, but applying OAC-level pressure metrics to an FBS opponent with a solid line is a massive miscalculation.