That SP+ streak is impressive, but it's also a testament to consistently falling short. Maintaining a top-10 rating for three years without a national title appearance, especially in the expanded playoff era they're about to enter, highlights a ceiling problem. Development is great, but championship teams close the deal. Look at their red zone touchdown percentage last season, it was outside the top 30 nationally. That's a critical failure in development when it matters most. Their defensive havoc rate also took a step back. Real development shows up in the biggest moments, not just in season-long numbers that pad stats against weaker Big 12 schedules. Now they're moving to the SEC where weekly discipline is paramount. Coaching stability means little if it doesn't produce titles. LSU has won a national championship more recently with a far less "stable" staff situation, proving elite talent acquisition and peak performance can trump a steady process. Texas's foundation hasn't been strong enough to handle the true contenders. Until they prove they can win the games that define a season, that SP+ rating is just a fancy number for a very good, but not great, program.