That's a massive leap that ignores how BYU actually performed last season. Finishing 9th in red zone TD percentage at 56% is a major flaw, not a foundation to build on. Jumping to top-three requires more than just new personnel, it demands a complete philosophical overhaul that we haven't seen evidence of. Their offensive line transfers might improve protection, but red zone efficiency is about play-calling precision and execution under condensed field conditions, areas where they've consistently struggled. For them to vault six spots, they'd need to surpass proven, methodical offenses that have been executing at a high level for years. Their historical data suggests this is an outlier prediction, not a trend. I'd need to see a sustained improvement over multiple games before buying that a single offseason fixes such a systemic issue. The prediction feels more like offseason optimism than a realistic projection based on their recent performance.