That's a lazy take. Top 5 programs have elite talent depth that separates them. Look at roster retention and returning production metrics. Teams like Georgia and Ohio State have 85+% of their production back, which historically correlates with 10+ win seasons. A 7-5 collapse requires catastrophic injury luck and turnover regression, which isn't predictable. It doesn't "happen every time," that's just recency bias from one outlier season. The data shows top 5 preseason teams consistently finish ranked.